2008年9月13日土曜日

India's coal red light

"India's coal red light"

If you have money, you can construct how much ever, power plants, but the fuel problem was substantiated. This is saying we have had long before. This is simple logic, however, developers simply used to concentrate to power plant construction. China's Electric Power Development was the example, I think I can say. China is now the supply of coal difficult situation, and the government has started its consideration of the administrative integration of coal and power generation.

India is now doing exactly this growing problem. Power Secretary Anil Razdan today's statement, which is based on a very short article on Economic Times symbolizes all that. From 2007 to 2012 before, 70,000 MW of power development is planned and out of it, 60,000 MW coal-fired power must be developed. Razdan today's brief remarks to feel the content taht he tried to fire this administrative integration between power and coal, I myself,reading.
China's coal and power to be integrated of the administration may not so hard, but India may have a lot of trouble. Prime Minister Singh's short words may not move such a country. And central to the mood of the state government had him follow me it is no guarantee. Razdan' hidden chest to try to track short-term need.

India's coal, compared to China, potentially a big problem. Japan Electric Power Research Commission said, India's coal reserves of 253.3 billion tons, 10 percent of the world as a whole. This amount is in the United States, Russia and China are followed by the world's fourth largest. Last year, 2006 to 2007 the total volume of 1.11 billion tons, of which 0.243 billion tonnes of imports. India is the importer and that is, Indonesia, Australia and South America. Power came from coal is 70 percent.

India's coal is somewhat concentrated in the eastern part of unevenly distributed. On coal mining, the Ministry of Coal is administrating independent from power, and the Coal Corporation of India CIL is controlling total production of 85 percent. Participation by the private companies, such as Tata Steel is limited mainly for power generation and private entities. Power Ministry is currently being carried out large-scale coal-fired UMPP plan, the Ministry of coal and coal supply contract is important for the 10 projects.

I have to pay attention to these issues, while some information about India's coal'd like to have an interest. Also, India's coal has a problem with the quantity and quality problem. It is important, however, also involving the Ministry of railway transportation problems.

Reference
September 12, 2008

Philippines

●080912A Philippines, pia.gov.phHedcor construction sources P200 million from Davao suppliers
http://www.pia.gov.ph/?m=12&r=&y=&mo=&fi=p080912.htm&no=05

India

●080912B India, Economic TimesGMR lines up Rs 10,000 cr for nuclear power project
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/GMR_lines_up_Rs_10000_cr_for_nuclear_power_project/articleshow/3473295.cms
●080912C India, Economic TimesCoal shortage delays Indian power projects-govt
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/Power/Coal_shortage_delays_Indian_power_projects-govt/articleshow/3470190.cms
●080912D India, bernama.comAsean Diplomats To Tour India's North East To Explore Trade
http://www.bernama.com.my/bernama/v3/news_business.php?id=358685

2008年9月12日金曜日

"India, Tata, 10,000 MW development"

"India, Tata, 10,000 MW development"

India's Tata Power challenged the bid battle for bidding to sell about 6,000 MW Singapore Seneko with Japanese groups of Munnbai group and Mitsubishi group. citizenship in the new Singapore, Senoko Power, bidding to sell about 6,000 MW, with Japan's Marubeni Corp. It again printed its name in our brain. In today's article, Tata Power Chairman Mr. Ratan Tata made statement that India's economic growth is along with expanding the Tata Power in the near future.

Tata Power is the India's largest private power company. Though the current scale of Tata owned power generation facilities of 2,278 MW is still small, this largest private companies is expanding its fields to thermal power, hydropower, wind power generation, transmission services with such wide variety of businesses. Total revenues in the year is 42.3 billion Rupees. The company was founded in 1919, and has a long history.

Chairman Ratan Tata said the new power development plan is as in the following. ., The country's first large-scale thermal power project development UMPP, Mundra 4,000MW in Gujarat state has reached the financial closing of 170 billion Rupees and would be operational at the end of the September 2011. It is steadily progressing. Others are the 1050 MW thermal power of Maithon in Jharkhand State and the coastal project of 2,400 MW thermal power in Maharashtra state.

Especially noteworthy is the recent overseas expanding, including the fields of energy resources. They are the Indonesia's coal resources with PT Kaltim Prima Coal (KPC) and PT Arutmin. Also, Tata requiring the domestic coal, Orissa state of Jharkhand state Mandakini Coal Block and Hindalco and Tubed Coal Mines Ltd.

Mr.Ratan Tata, Chairman, gives interesting figures of Tata’s observation for the cost of construction. They are the KW basis, coal-fired - 50,000 to 40,000 rupees (874 to 1,093 dollars), hydropower 60,000 to 65,000 rupees (1,312 to 1,421 dollars), nuclear from 6 to 8 Rupees (1,312 to 1,749 dollars), wind power 60,000 rupees (1,312 dollars), solar 200,000 rupees (4,372 dollars), and gas-fired 28,000 to 38,000 rupees (612 to 831 U.S. dollars). India北辺or trying to, Hydropower is relatively cheap, provably, because of large-scale water power in northern frontier.

2008年9月11日木曜日

"Indonesia's crude oil production decline"

"Indonesia's crude oil production decline"

In May 2008, President Yudhoyono of Indonesia said OPEC's withdrawal, and on September 9, at the OPEC's formal meeting, the withdrawal was confirmed. If It would increase crude oil production again, Indonesia will be able to seek to OPEC member.

Indonesian Parliament is challenging to the proposition that the country's prestige on the oil production still remain. Pertamina and representatives of foreign companies are called every day to the Parliament, and the discussions of oil production forecasts have been made. Legislator criticized the foreign companies. They are accusing the foreign companies for their oil production decrease by pointing out that the state-run company Pertamina has the 2009 production forecast to increase at 6 percent.

PT Chevron Pacific Indonesia reported this year's production forecast, 408,000 barrel per day (bpd) from the downward revision to 405,000 bpd, and the figure of 425,000 bpd last year, so with a considerable drop. Other foreign companies are all below the previous year's results, against PT Pertamina's expectation in 2009 as the year-ago results from the 118,221 bpd and 125,000 bpd increase by 6 percent and that the parliament has the sharp reaction.

The government predicts, against, this year, the 2008 production of 977,000 bpd, 950,000 bpd of production in 2009. Parliament is requesting to the government to correct this expectation of decline, but the government is resisting this request. Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry's director general of oil and gas, Ms. Evita H. Legowo is insisting that the government's goal is the development of alternative energy resources.

"Indonesia was a member of OPEC in 1962, and, in 1976, oil production was at its peak. 20 years after its 1995, crude oil production was declining started in 2005 with a net importer of crude oil. Current production is a million barrels a day below as stated before." It is said that the drop of Indonesian crude oil production symbolizes the world oil decline in the near future.

Today it is reported that OPEC will respond to a sharp drop in oil prices, by a substantial reduction of production. The six-month crude oil price movement is severe. On January 2008, the price of 70 dollars a barrel recorded to 147 dollars in July. However, reflecting the fall in world economy over the past two months, the price is falling to 105 dollar level. The future of crude oil is steep indeed. The world demand for crude oil is 86,760,000 bpd.

Reference
September 10, 2008

Philippines
●080910A Philippines, Manila BulletinIn northwest offshore Palawan Nido Petroleum starts oil drilling http://www.mb.com.ph/BSNS20080910134745.html

Nepal
●080910B Nepal, nepalnews‘No need for two-third majority in parliament on West Seti’http://www.nepalnews.com/archive/2008/sep/sep10/news01.php

India
●080910C India, Economic TimesOIL plans $1.5-b coal-to-liquid project in Assamhttp://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/OIL_plans_15-b_coal-to-liquid_project_in_Assam/articleshow/3464741.cms

Indonesia
●080910D Indonesia, The Jakarta PostChevron forecasts drop in oil outputhttp://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2008/09/09/chevron-forecasts-drop-oil-output.html

2008年9月10日水曜日

"India's power reform and pool market"

Just one month before, the August 11, 2008, in this column, India's power pool market was reported. "Since the government does not work hard to create a pool market, the Stock Exchange is encouraging NTPC, national thermal power corporation, NHPC and Tata to whip them to create the market platform and necessary infrastructure for the pool market.

" Today's issue; Tata Consultancy Services are leading the technical matters and forming the joint venture with NTPC, NHPC and PFC to build the platform for the national level of power exchange. The Stock Exchange is moving in control to form the joint venture.

On India's power reform, IEEJ's text, published in September 2004, briefly summarized. At the time of 2004, for the next five to 10 years, the main items to be implemented are; open access to transmission lines, promotion of interstate trade, and the formation of market power pool and liberalization of the system. The IEEJ's text emphasized on pool market that "In order to promote competition, the maintenance and development of transmission network is important."

Recently, in the Philippines WESM of pool market, the accident at the substations caused supply shortage and KWh market value went up to nearly 70 cents. It was happened to be a great confusion. Indeed, the current transmission lines in India have necessity of a network maintenance and, in addition, issue of a large loss in the system. I think, the current supply shortage in India is probably going to be pandemonium unless otherwise to improve the demand and supply gap.Today, a few important news continued.

Chief North Korea's Kim Jong-Il, may become partially paralyzed. Thailand's Prime Minister Mr.Samack was forced to resign by the Constitution court. Crude oil prices on the barrels have been moved to 102 dollars level. It was expectations the OPEC to increase production.

Reference
September 8, 2008

Pakistan

●080909A Pakistan, Daily Times
IHC suspends previous verdict on Munda Dam Project http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2008%5C09%5C09%5Cstory_9-9-2008_pg7_20

Nepal

●080909B Nepal, The Rising Nepal
Focus on statute, socio-economic transformation
http://www.gorkhapatra.org.np/detail.php?article_id=6447&cat_id=5

India

●080909D India, Economic Times
TCS signs JV with NTPC, NHPC, PFC to set up power exchange http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/Power/TCS_signs_JV_with_NTPC_NHPC_PFC_to_set_up_power_exchange_/articleshow/3458865.cmsChina●080909C

China,

xinhuanet
Three Gorges project to begin full operation in November http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-09/08/content_9859678.htm

2008年9月9日火曜日

"Vietnam's power crisis continues"

"Vietnam's power crisis continues"

Particularly in 2004, 2005, it was a serious problem. This was caused by reservoir empty in large-scale hydropower stations, failure of coal-fired and gas-fired thermal plants and delay of new installation. At the time "Mizuho" report said that, in this situation, the Japanese government, the World Bank and other cooperation intensively implemented the measures, and that the experience will bring about good results in the near future.

But, I had gotten away from some time on Vietnam, and, again in 2008, she have become increasingly serious power shortage. On July 17, 2008, EVN's president gave an unusual apology to the people of Vietnam at the conference. He explained that the power shortage was caused by new power plant delays operation, multiple power plant accident stop, and south of the dam's water level decline; the three points. The traditional cause has not been improved. He said it would be in September.

However, today's article said that, even though the the water level of hydroelectric power stations are recovering and the peak season has passed, power in the morning and evening peak time has been still restricted. Public and corporate discontent is rising. In particular, the people accused EVN for its power failure without planning. Rolling blackouts may prevent damage to a certain extent. However, the sudden power outage happen could not be coped with.

Today's report, the potential demand may be 11,000 ~ 12,000 MW and the real output is 10,200 MW, which causes shortage of the daily, 800 ~ 1,800 MW. Therefore, in the morning peak, 9:00 to 11:00 and the evening peak, between 6 pm to 9 pm, the electricity use has been restricted. It is said, EVN's deputy general director, Dang Hoang An.

On August 15, 2006, I noted Vietnam's power structure. So has been steady growth in Vietnam, where power is messed-up? I am thinking that, when EVN powerful organization was established, it had private sector development in coming, but it was not fully digested by the Ministry of Industry and EVN to deal with it. It is mainly centered on the issue of electricity rates.

In this respect, China is also similar to the conditions. If to think inflation in economic and voice of the people, dare to raise electricity rates are not. Currently, it is KWh 4.5 per cent, the lowest level in Southeast Asia, but the IPP, while private investment is increasing, and EVN must be unique off-taker. What I think is there is the inconsistent. Also noted in my last, as follows.

"About 10 years ago, American companies were supporting the prime minister and deputy prime minister, to promote large-scale investment in power generation. However, it was collapsed because EVN can purchase only four cents per KWh. EVN still in electricity rates are low and a level of 4.5 cents. EVN is unable to get the sale agreement with IPPs without the government's perspective to raise electricity prices.However, the government is insisting that the hydroelectric power of 40 percent for the system are older, and 60 percent of the 4.5-cent cost of new power plants, and four cents more than the cost is impossible."

Reference
September 8, 2008

Vietnam
●080908A Vietnam, vietnamnewsElectricity shortages continue as things cool off across the countryhttp://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/showarticle.php?num=05ECO060908

India
●080908B India, Economic TimesDVC gears up for power generation in 4 yearshttp://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/Power/DVC_gears_up_for_power_generation_in_4_years/articleshow/3455973.cms

Indonesia
●080908C Indonesia, The Jakarta PostTap water resources to generate badly needed electricity http://old.thejakartapost.com/detailfeatures.asp?fileid=20080907.S20&irec=19

China
●080908D China, China ViewMutual understanding in clean energy(China Daily)http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/2008-09/08/content_7007475.htmower-plant-output.html

2008年9月8日月曜日

"Indonesia's second Crash Program"

"Indonesia's second Crash Program"
(Please refer to my website also.)
http://my.reset.jp/~adachihayao/indexE.htm?lang=en

Here is my memo dated May 2004. In 2002, the Paiton coal-fired power transmission lines and the upgrade of power facilities were not going smoothly. At the time of President Megawati, it was severe in Java-Bali system of power supply and demand.

In the end of 2003, President Megawati visited to Japan. She called on Sumitomo's president, at that time, Mr. Oka, and requested him to have for the next candidate of the leading coal-fired Tanjung Jati B's solicited input. At that time, no one knows what will happen to IPPs in Indonesia. Even though the Javanese still has many risks for power development in Indonesia, Mr.Oka responded to the president's request meeting directly. This Sumitomo's bold decision is still our mind in one's brain.

As of today, while Sumitomo is defending the silence, but Indonesia's Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry's director general for electricity and energy usage, Mr. J. Purwono disclosed the fact that Sumitomo will be again the lead-off the Second Crash Program, which, presently, the government is now formulating. This is the article in the Jakarta Post today.

Performing the same location, Central Java Tanjung Jati B coal-fired power plant, the size of the same with a single 660 MW, 2 machines, for a total of 1,320 MW of coal-fired are planned. It is said that the total project cost of 1.5 billion US $ and, KW 1,136 per dollar, which may reflect the recent material the slightly higher prices. PLN is to purchase with KWh per 4.3 cents, as the prospect of being written, it is somewhat cheaper.

In the article, JBIC is funding the full support. However, the Japanese side has not yet announced. This may be finalized by the end of this year. Bids for electricity sales recently may be around KWh 4 ~ 5 cents, and that the Japanese side is silent on that the electricity sales, or this may have been a bid.

Supply and demand in Indonesia has, as reported earlier, the tightrope every day. During the current Ramadan, 2 to 3 percent increase in demand. In the first of 10,000 MW coal-fired Crash Program is being made and may be delaying in rather late in 2010 to start operation.

At this stage, the Indonesian government is planning the second phase of the 10,000 MW of the Crash Program. Its contents are not yet to materialize, and they are observing the renewable energy to be pushed to the front. The project by Sumitomo Corp., the second party then, is to start operation by 2011.

Reference
September 7, 2008

Pakistan
●080907A Pakistan, Daily TimesCDWP likely to take up 43 projects worth Rs 199.077bnhttp://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2008%5C09%5C07%5Cstory_7-9-2008_pg5_3

Philippines
●080907B Philippines, Manila BulletinMeralco agrees to open books to COA as directed by ERC http://www.mb.com.ph/BSNS20080907134488.html

India
●080907C India, Economic TimesNSG waiver to India will boost power industry NPCILhttp://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/Power/NSG_waiver_to_India_will_boost_power_industry_NPCIL/articleshow/3452633.cms●080907D India, Economic TimesDamodar Valley Corp to produce 3,500 MW in Jharkhandhttp://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/Damodar_Valley_Corp_to_produce_3500_MW_in_Jharkhand/articleshow/3452889.cms

Indonesia
●080907E Indonesia, The Jakarta PostSumitomo to invest $1.5 billion to increase power plant outputhttp://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2008/09/06/sumitomo-invest-15-billion-increase-power-plant-output.html