2008年9月16日火曜日

India's power transmission corporation division

Please refer to my HP which involves relevant mapshttp://my.reset.jp/~adachihayao/indexE.htm?lang=en

"India's power transmission corporation division"

PGCIL, India's national transmission line corporation, in any direction it is going, we have been very interested. Suddenly today's issue of the division of PGCIL is quite fresh. In Indian Power Ministry, in February, the committee was set up to study the corporation, with the chief of Gireesh Pradhan, additional secretary to the chairman.

The committee, in August submitted a final report. The contents involves idea of division between the transmission lines/substations and load dispatching. Also, accounting system should be divided by 2009 until the end of March. The decision may be that The transmission lines are just a wire, and load dispatching is the basic point of power free market.

Worldwide liberalization of the electricity power company is headed in the direction of division, unbundling. Indonesia and Thailand are on the verge of split, the Constitutional Court's judgement, power transmission lines are not insulated from the body. Vietnam has yet to split up progress. A typical split is going on in India, China, and Philippines.

China's case, when Prime Minister Li Peng visited Tokyo Electric Power, he asked on Japan's reform on split, but the Japanese side is not giving definite answer. Prime Minister Li Peng returned home, immediately split their unbundling. Power generation sector is completely split, and the national grid has power in the sector. The national grid company take all power from distributed power companies and take responsibility for their supply. To do so, pumped storage power plant belonging to the national grid.

Philippines are completely divided into a national power grid Transco independence. However, the Transco is not off-taker of power and is just a company only to send electricity. Further, Transco handed over its operation and management to China national power grid operations. For the time being, MPC shall take electricity from IPP's, in the future, all in the pool market WESM. The responsibility of power supply is ambiguous.

India is what happens, a lot of interest. Already divided into separate PGCIL, I had guess that, as in China, a responsibility and obligation will be taken by PGCIL, but not. The conclusion of the committee, transmission and power load dispatching should be divided, as in the Philippines, but power supply and operational responsibility for feeding have tried to say in load dispatching center? It is new approach, but also anxiety there. I think that China's system is better.

Reference
September 15, 2008

Nepal

●080915A Nepal, howrah.org
Prachanda arrives in India, talks on Monday
http://howrah.org/india_news/29635.html

India

●080915B India, economictimes.indiatimes
Government plans to bifurcate power grid, transmission operations
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/Government_plans_to_bifurcate_power_grid_transmission_operations/articleshow/3483420.cms

2008年9月15日月曜日

Kosi River in India and Nepal's problems

"Kosi River in India and Nepal's problems"
Please refer to my HP which involves relevant maps
http://my.reset.jp/~adachihayao/indexE.htm?lang=en

On September 1st, I discussed in this column on the problem of river management between India and Nepal. Yesterday, September 14, Republic of Nepal prime minister. He expressed his strong will to talk with the unequal treaty between India and Nepal, to the press. In contrast, water resources minister Saif Uddin Soz of India told to the press that the Koshi treaty exists between the two countries has nothing the problem and he is listning to Prachanda.

Koshi river is flowing into India's Bihar State and the Ganges River. The upstream catchment area is 69,300 sq km, originating at high-emitting Everest, the Chinese territory is 29,400 sq km, Nepal is 30,700 square km, Indiatterritory, the 9,200 sq km. Nepal high in the west to sweep Gandaki River, east of the river Mahananda extend each other. Upstream, the water-power development companies are in India, 300 MW Upper Karnali project, 402 MW Arun III project.

The river is giving Bihar state's major downstream flood damage and at the same time, fertile land to cultivate. At the border point, the average flow rate is 1,564 tons per second. on August 24, 1954, floods of the flow rate reached to 18 timesof the average, the 24,200 tons per second. (Watershed area for a small percentage of it). Koshi weir at the border, design flood discharge is 27,014 tons per second.

The problem is putting a fire this year, August 18, 2008 massive flood. Kusaha in Nepal's territory to rip the levee, including India's Bihar state, 2.7 million people are afflicted, it also displaced 2 million people are living. The biggest tragedy in the region of 150 people were left behind, muddy stream in one fell swoop accident, but this disaster to give a strong impression. Air India, Nepal had territory in the rescue activities.

Today, India's water resources minister Saif Uddin Soz says that India is Nepal in the development of new hydropower, but also consider the need to stabilize the river. Nepal's rivers could leave to private companies only or better to discuss between two governments. With same discussion in Japan, the minister raises the point whether dam or levees for floods.

ReferenceSeptember 14, 2008

Philippines

●080914A Philippines, Manila BulletinERC okays TransCo’s allowable revenue at P36.11 billion in 2008
http://www.mb.com.ph/BSNS20080914135116.html

Nepal

●080914B Nepal, Nepali News
Indian minister says no to Koshi treaty review
http://www.nepalnews.com/archive/2008/sep/sep14/news03.php

Indonesia

●080914C Indonesia, The Jakarta Post
Temasek loses last appeal
http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2008/09/13/temasek-loses-last-appeal.html

2008年9月13日土曜日

India's coal red light

"India's coal red light"

If you have money, you can construct how much ever, power plants, but the fuel problem was substantiated. This is saying we have had long before. This is simple logic, however, developers simply used to concentrate to power plant construction. China's Electric Power Development was the example, I think I can say. China is now the supply of coal difficult situation, and the government has started its consideration of the administrative integration of coal and power generation.

India is now doing exactly this growing problem. Power Secretary Anil Razdan today's statement, which is based on a very short article on Economic Times symbolizes all that. From 2007 to 2012 before, 70,000 MW of power development is planned and out of it, 60,000 MW coal-fired power must be developed. Razdan today's brief remarks to feel the content taht he tried to fire this administrative integration between power and coal, I myself,reading.
China's coal and power to be integrated of the administration may not so hard, but India may have a lot of trouble. Prime Minister Singh's short words may not move such a country. And central to the mood of the state government had him follow me it is no guarantee. Razdan' hidden chest to try to track short-term need.

India's coal, compared to China, potentially a big problem. Japan Electric Power Research Commission said, India's coal reserves of 253.3 billion tons, 10 percent of the world as a whole. This amount is in the United States, Russia and China are followed by the world's fourth largest. Last year, 2006 to 2007 the total volume of 1.11 billion tons, of which 0.243 billion tonnes of imports. India is the importer and that is, Indonesia, Australia and South America. Power came from coal is 70 percent.

India's coal is somewhat concentrated in the eastern part of unevenly distributed. On coal mining, the Ministry of Coal is administrating independent from power, and the Coal Corporation of India CIL is controlling total production of 85 percent. Participation by the private companies, such as Tata Steel is limited mainly for power generation and private entities. Power Ministry is currently being carried out large-scale coal-fired UMPP plan, the Ministry of coal and coal supply contract is important for the 10 projects.

I have to pay attention to these issues, while some information about India's coal'd like to have an interest. Also, India's coal has a problem with the quantity and quality problem. It is important, however, also involving the Ministry of railway transportation problems.

Reference
September 12, 2008

Philippines

●080912A Philippines, pia.gov.phHedcor construction sources P200 million from Davao suppliers
http://www.pia.gov.ph/?m=12&r=&y=&mo=&fi=p080912.htm&no=05

India

●080912B India, Economic TimesGMR lines up Rs 10,000 cr for nuclear power project
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/GMR_lines_up_Rs_10000_cr_for_nuclear_power_project/articleshow/3473295.cms
●080912C India, Economic TimesCoal shortage delays Indian power projects-govt
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/Power/Coal_shortage_delays_Indian_power_projects-govt/articleshow/3470190.cms
●080912D India, bernama.comAsean Diplomats To Tour India's North East To Explore Trade
http://www.bernama.com.my/bernama/v3/news_business.php?id=358685

2008年9月12日金曜日

"India, Tata, 10,000 MW development"

"India, Tata, 10,000 MW development"

India's Tata Power challenged the bid battle for bidding to sell about 6,000 MW Singapore Seneko with Japanese groups of Munnbai group and Mitsubishi group. citizenship in the new Singapore, Senoko Power, bidding to sell about 6,000 MW, with Japan's Marubeni Corp. It again printed its name in our brain. In today's article, Tata Power Chairman Mr. Ratan Tata made statement that India's economic growth is along with expanding the Tata Power in the near future.

Tata Power is the India's largest private power company. Though the current scale of Tata owned power generation facilities of 2,278 MW is still small, this largest private companies is expanding its fields to thermal power, hydropower, wind power generation, transmission services with such wide variety of businesses. Total revenues in the year is 42.3 billion Rupees. The company was founded in 1919, and has a long history.

Chairman Ratan Tata said the new power development plan is as in the following. ., The country's first large-scale thermal power project development UMPP, Mundra 4,000MW in Gujarat state has reached the financial closing of 170 billion Rupees and would be operational at the end of the September 2011. It is steadily progressing. Others are the 1050 MW thermal power of Maithon in Jharkhand State and the coastal project of 2,400 MW thermal power in Maharashtra state.

Especially noteworthy is the recent overseas expanding, including the fields of energy resources. They are the Indonesia's coal resources with PT Kaltim Prima Coal (KPC) and PT Arutmin. Also, Tata requiring the domestic coal, Orissa state of Jharkhand state Mandakini Coal Block and Hindalco and Tubed Coal Mines Ltd.

Mr.Ratan Tata, Chairman, gives interesting figures of Tata’s observation for the cost of construction. They are the KW basis, coal-fired - 50,000 to 40,000 rupees (874 to 1,093 dollars), hydropower 60,000 to 65,000 rupees (1,312 to 1,421 dollars), nuclear from 6 to 8 Rupees (1,312 to 1,749 dollars), wind power 60,000 rupees (1,312 dollars), solar 200,000 rupees (4,372 dollars), and gas-fired 28,000 to 38,000 rupees (612 to 831 U.S. dollars). India北辺or trying to, Hydropower is relatively cheap, provably, because of large-scale water power in northern frontier.

2008年9月11日木曜日

"Indonesia's crude oil production decline"

"Indonesia's crude oil production decline"

In May 2008, President Yudhoyono of Indonesia said OPEC's withdrawal, and on September 9, at the OPEC's formal meeting, the withdrawal was confirmed. If It would increase crude oil production again, Indonesia will be able to seek to OPEC member.

Indonesian Parliament is challenging to the proposition that the country's prestige on the oil production still remain. Pertamina and representatives of foreign companies are called every day to the Parliament, and the discussions of oil production forecasts have been made. Legislator criticized the foreign companies. They are accusing the foreign companies for their oil production decrease by pointing out that the state-run company Pertamina has the 2009 production forecast to increase at 6 percent.

PT Chevron Pacific Indonesia reported this year's production forecast, 408,000 barrel per day (bpd) from the downward revision to 405,000 bpd, and the figure of 425,000 bpd last year, so with a considerable drop. Other foreign companies are all below the previous year's results, against PT Pertamina's expectation in 2009 as the year-ago results from the 118,221 bpd and 125,000 bpd increase by 6 percent and that the parliament has the sharp reaction.

The government predicts, against, this year, the 2008 production of 977,000 bpd, 950,000 bpd of production in 2009. Parliament is requesting to the government to correct this expectation of decline, but the government is resisting this request. Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry's director general of oil and gas, Ms. Evita H. Legowo is insisting that the government's goal is the development of alternative energy resources.

"Indonesia was a member of OPEC in 1962, and, in 1976, oil production was at its peak. 20 years after its 1995, crude oil production was declining started in 2005 with a net importer of crude oil. Current production is a million barrels a day below as stated before." It is said that the drop of Indonesian crude oil production symbolizes the world oil decline in the near future.

Today it is reported that OPEC will respond to a sharp drop in oil prices, by a substantial reduction of production. The six-month crude oil price movement is severe. On January 2008, the price of 70 dollars a barrel recorded to 147 dollars in July. However, reflecting the fall in world economy over the past two months, the price is falling to 105 dollar level. The future of crude oil is steep indeed. The world demand for crude oil is 86,760,000 bpd.

Reference
September 10, 2008

Philippines
●080910A Philippines, Manila BulletinIn northwest offshore Palawan Nido Petroleum starts oil drilling http://www.mb.com.ph/BSNS20080910134745.html

Nepal
●080910B Nepal, nepalnews‘No need for two-third majority in parliament on West Seti’http://www.nepalnews.com/archive/2008/sep/sep10/news01.php

India
●080910C India, Economic TimesOIL plans $1.5-b coal-to-liquid project in Assamhttp://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/OIL_plans_15-b_coal-to-liquid_project_in_Assam/articleshow/3464741.cms

Indonesia
●080910D Indonesia, The Jakarta PostChevron forecasts drop in oil outputhttp://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2008/09/09/chevron-forecasts-drop-oil-output.html

2008年9月10日水曜日

"India's power reform and pool market"

Just one month before, the August 11, 2008, in this column, India's power pool market was reported. "Since the government does not work hard to create a pool market, the Stock Exchange is encouraging NTPC, national thermal power corporation, NHPC and Tata to whip them to create the market platform and necessary infrastructure for the pool market.

" Today's issue; Tata Consultancy Services are leading the technical matters and forming the joint venture with NTPC, NHPC and PFC to build the platform for the national level of power exchange. The Stock Exchange is moving in control to form the joint venture.

On India's power reform, IEEJ's text, published in September 2004, briefly summarized. At the time of 2004, for the next five to 10 years, the main items to be implemented are; open access to transmission lines, promotion of interstate trade, and the formation of market power pool and liberalization of the system. The IEEJ's text emphasized on pool market that "In order to promote competition, the maintenance and development of transmission network is important."

Recently, in the Philippines WESM of pool market, the accident at the substations caused supply shortage and KWh market value went up to nearly 70 cents. It was happened to be a great confusion. Indeed, the current transmission lines in India have necessity of a network maintenance and, in addition, issue of a large loss in the system. I think, the current supply shortage in India is probably going to be pandemonium unless otherwise to improve the demand and supply gap.Today, a few important news continued.

Chief North Korea's Kim Jong-Il, may become partially paralyzed. Thailand's Prime Minister Mr.Samack was forced to resign by the Constitution court. Crude oil prices on the barrels have been moved to 102 dollars level. It was expectations the OPEC to increase production.

Reference
September 8, 2008

Pakistan

●080909A Pakistan, Daily Times
IHC suspends previous verdict on Munda Dam Project http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2008%5C09%5C09%5Cstory_9-9-2008_pg7_20

Nepal

●080909B Nepal, The Rising Nepal
Focus on statute, socio-economic transformation
http://www.gorkhapatra.org.np/detail.php?article_id=6447&cat_id=5

India

●080909D India, Economic Times
TCS signs JV with NTPC, NHPC, PFC to set up power exchange http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/Power/TCS_signs_JV_with_NTPC_NHPC_PFC_to_set_up_power_exchange_/articleshow/3458865.cmsChina●080909C

China,

xinhuanet
Three Gorges project to begin full operation in November http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-09/08/content_9859678.htm

2008年9月9日火曜日

"Vietnam's power crisis continues"

"Vietnam's power crisis continues"

Particularly in 2004, 2005, it was a serious problem. This was caused by reservoir empty in large-scale hydropower stations, failure of coal-fired and gas-fired thermal plants and delay of new installation. At the time "Mizuho" report said that, in this situation, the Japanese government, the World Bank and other cooperation intensively implemented the measures, and that the experience will bring about good results in the near future.

But, I had gotten away from some time on Vietnam, and, again in 2008, she have become increasingly serious power shortage. On July 17, 2008, EVN's president gave an unusual apology to the people of Vietnam at the conference. He explained that the power shortage was caused by new power plant delays operation, multiple power plant accident stop, and south of the dam's water level decline; the three points. The traditional cause has not been improved. He said it would be in September.

However, today's article said that, even though the the water level of hydroelectric power stations are recovering and the peak season has passed, power in the morning and evening peak time has been still restricted. Public and corporate discontent is rising. In particular, the people accused EVN for its power failure without planning. Rolling blackouts may prevent damage to a certain extent. However, the sudden power outage happen could not be coped with.

Today's report, the potential demand may be 11,000 ~ 12,000 MW and the real output is 10,200 MW, which causes shortage of the daily, 800 ~ 1,800 MW. Therefore, in the morning peak, 9:00 to 11:00 and the evening peak, between 6 pm to 9 pm, the electricity use has been restricted. It is said, EVN's deputy general director, Dang Hoang An.

On August 15, 2006, I noted Vietnam's power structure. So has been steady growth in Vietnam, where power is messed-up? I am thinking that, when EVN powerful organization was established, it had private sector development in coming, but it was not fully digested by the Ministry of Industry and EVN to deal with it. It is mainly centered on the issue of electricity rates.

In this respect, China is also similar to the conditions. If to think inflation in economic and voice of the people, dare to raise electricity rates are not. Currently, it is KWh 4.5 per cent, the lowest level in Southeast Asia, but the IPP, while private investment is increasing, and EVN must be unique off-taker. What I think is there is the inconsistent. Also noted in my last, as follows.

"About 10 years ago, American companies were supporting the prime minister and deputy prime minister, to promote large-scale investment in power generation. However, it was collapsed because EVN can purchase only four cents per KWh. EVN still in electricity rates are low and a level of 4.5 cents. EVN is unable to get the sale agreement with IPPs without the government's perspective to raise electricity prices.However, the government is insisting that the hydroelectric power of 40 percent for the system are older, and 60 percent of the 4.5-cent cost of new power plants, and four cents more than the cost is impossible."

Reference
September 8, 2008

Vietnam
●080908A Vietnam, vietnamnewsElectricity shortages continue as things cool off across the countryhttp://vietnamnews.vnagency.com.vn/showarticle.php?num=05ECO060908

India
●080908B India, Economic TimesDVC gears up for power generation in 4 yearshttp://economictimes.indiatimes.com/News/News_By_Industry/Energy/Power/DVC_gears_up_for_power_generation_in_4_years/articleshow/3455973.cms

Indonesia
●080908C Indonesia, The Jakarta PostTap water resources to generate badly needed electricity http://old.thejakartapost.com/detailfeatures.asp?fileid=20080907.S20&irec=19

China
●080908D China, China ViewMutual understanding in clean energy(China Daily)http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/2008-09/08/content_7007475.htmower-plant-output.html