2008年9月24日水曜日

The root cause of Vietnam's power shortage

As it has been free to attack the problem of Vietnam's energy, power problems, why come here and have chaos? One hint of a story that I think is in the today' article. Vietnam, during the 2010-2015 year, 30,000 MW with plans to develop, of which 26,000 MW coal-fired. In the same thought in Indonesia, given the soaring oil and gas, obviously, it is planned.

Vietnam National Oil and Gas Group (PetroVietnam), as part of the plan, 13 coal projects in the planning and writing a letter directly to the prime minister, it has been proposed. For this proposal, EVN said the attitude of denial. The reasons are that lack of funds, technical difficulties, and difficulties of coal. Vietnam's power sector now, how confusing, and we know half of history.

Tran Viet Ngai, Chairman of the Vietnam Energy Association, told that the attitude of the EVN, 'wise move' action, he said with irony. EVN's hydroelectric engineers obsession with the abnormal development and are not eager to develop thermal power. Regarding with foreign capital, the Tokyo Electric Power Co. and so on in the past, have contributed greatly to the development of thermal power development, but now it is the cumbersome procedures for investment in Vietnam and the difficulty of negotiating power purchase from the waist to close completely.

The problem is that EVN has been very rigid in the organization. However, a more fundamental problem is that Vietnam's economic prospects. With fears of inflation and the government, not to raise electricity rates. EVN to buy higher electricity from the IPPs and to sell cheap to the customers, but does not improve. Another is that they want solve the shortage with hydroelectric power.

Hydroelectric power is for the peak supply, and, if it is neglected to construct a base power, a system can not work. If there's nuclear, a combination of nuclear and hydroelectric, or pumped storage is optimum. If the development of coal-fired thermal power as a base, hydropower or pumped storage should be a peak power. Indonesia and the Philippines, the pumped storage and coal thermal combination is the basis. Renewable energy and the development of domestic energy resources, it is just complementary.

Atomic Energy of Thailand began to move. Consultant of the United States is performing the feasibility study with about 5 billion yen in 20 months until May 2010. Plan said first nuclear will come in 2020. Thailand is suffering from Laos, one-year delay in the development of hydropower, and LNG imports from Qatar, 10 million tons will be far, 1 million was only the contract. They need to revise power development plan PDP.

Reference

Vietnam

●080923A Vietnam, english.vietnamnet
EVN refuses 13 power plant projects, why
http://english.vietnamnet.vn/biz/2008/09/804957/

Thailand

●080923B Thailand, Bangkok Post
US firm to do study on nuclear plant
http://www.bangkokpost.com/230908_Business/23Sep2008_biz38.php

Nepal

●080923C Nepal, livemint
Nepal turns to Indian power firms for funding
http://www.livemint.com/2008/09/23004142/Nepal-turns-to-Indian-power-fi.html

India

●080923D India, thaindian
Baglihar dam displaced yet to be rehabilitated
http://www.thaindian.com/newsportal/india-news/baglihar-dam-displaced-yet-to-be-rehabilitated_10098377.html

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